2003: We did it again!

For the second year in a row, StiffArmTrophy.com correctly projected the outcome of the vote.

We made our final projection 30 minutes prior to the presentation show on ESPN based on 175 actual votes we found and tabulated. Our final projection at 4:30 p.m. (pacific time) on December 13, 2003:

Of the 922 official voters, we expect about 784 to vote (85%). Our count is now 22.3% of that total electorate. Our confidence in these numbers (particularly the top three) is high. Last year, we had 127 votes - and nailed it.
Our final projection is Jason White (35%) narrowly leading Larry Fitzgerald (32%), with Eli Manning (14%) solidly in third. In fourth place, Chris Perry (7%) is solidly ahead of fifth place Philip Rivers (3.4%). While Matt Leinart (2.4%), Darren Sproles (2.3%) and Mike Williams (2.3%) are all roughly in sixth place, those numbers aren't big enough to be statistically valid.

As you can see below, we were pretty much on the money.

Thanks for your help!
With the help of dozens of volunteers across America, we built the biggest and best projection with 175 declared votes listed on the Big Chart of Votes.

Actual Vote Counts

The tally below is a vote count from actual voters. The projection takes the regional numbers and extrapolates a final total. (Our methodology.)

The final "actual" percentages are based on the top 10 vote totals released by the Trust, as reported at CNN/SI.

firstsecondthirdballotspointsProjected %Actual %

M Williams43411222.2%1.8%
R Gallery001110.1% 
Van Pelt001110.1% 
C Williams001110.1% 

View the complete list of the 293 official voters that we know about.

Don't trust our counts? That's OK, we won't take it personally. View the Big Chart: every single official vote that we've found.

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