2002: We did it!
Our final projection was on December 14, 2002 at 2:37 p.m. PST. Based on 127 declared ballots (13.79% of all voters), we projected the following order of finish:
Carson Palmer, Brad Banks, Willis McGahee, Ken Dorsey, Larry Johnson.
We got it right - with the exception of Larry Johnson. He finished #3, not #5. We believe that's because the number of voters we had from the Northeast was disproportionately low.
Actual Vote Counts
The tally below is NOT a projection. These are actual vote counts from actual voters. Why don't the projected percentages match the count percentages? Because our projection weights the regions equally - since the votes we've collected don't match the true distribution. More about our methodology.
| first | second | third | Ballots | Points | Pct. | Projected | Actual* | |
| Carson Palmer | 54 | 30 | 10 | 94 | 232 | 36% | 33.2% | 27.9% |
| Brad Banks | 25 | 24 | 16 | 65 | 139 | 21% | 22.7% | 23.0% |
| Willis McGahee | 16 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 90 | 14% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| Ken Dorsey | 15 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 73 | 11% | 11.6% | 13.5% |
| Larry Johnson | 12 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 70 | 11% | 10.8% | 15.3% |
| Byron Leftwich | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 2% | 2.0% | 2.6% |
| Terrell Suggs | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1% | 1.1% | |
| Jason Gesser | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1% | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| Maurice Clarett | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 1% | 0.6% | |
| Kliff Kingsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Rashaun Woods | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| Shane Walton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| Chris Brown | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.2% | 1.0% |
| Brett Romberg | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| Lane Bearden | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| Seneca Wallace | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.0% |
*The organization only reports the top 10 finishers - so some of the actual vote totals don't appear here. Of course, they had to be below Quentin Griffin's 0.6% total (for which we had no votes for at all). The numbers at the very low levels can be pretty suspect, since lots of folks use that #3 spot to make statements about individual players, teams, or the process itself.
More, more, more
Don't trust our counts? That's OK, we won't take it personally. View the Big Chart for 2002: every single vote that we found.
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Whose crazy idea is this?