117 ballots, and it's a barnburner
Well, we've got a huge update - with over 50 additional ballots just in the last few hours. But it's going to take a lot more ballots to get a solid projection.
If you're looking closely at our numbers, you'll note that we've got more votes for Tim Tebow than we do for Sam Bradford. So, why is Bradford leading in our projection? It's all about the regional breakdown. We're seeing lots of excited Tebow supporters in the Southeast, but Bradford is picking up support across multiple regions. There's fewer of those ballots, but if you assume that the "quiet ballots" that we don't know about are roughly similar to the ones we do know about from the same region, well, then Bradford is doing slightly better.
But don't count Colt McCoy out yet. He's just barely behind Tebow -- and at this point, any of the three QBs could win this thing.
Kari Chisholm | December 10, 2008 | Comment on This Post (6 so far) |
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how can the first three all have around 50%
Posted by: p | Dec 10, 2008 4:50:22 AM
I like the guy from the Denver Post who voted for zach robinson #1 and the LB from usc #2............. its these kind of idiots who make a farce of the heisman and need their votes stripped
Posted by: Nick | Dec 10, 2008 7:07:13 AM
Same with Musberger who put his vote up to be decided by the fans. If he doesnt want to make a decision,then give up his ballot.
Posted by: p | Dec 10, 2008 7:32:45 AM
He is a sissy who is afraid of stepping on toes.... i hate when he calls the games my team plays in ... same goes with herbstriet...... those guys are both idiots.... im sure herbstriet kept bradford and mccoy off his ballot and voted for tebow twice.. i only say that because of all the verbal blow jobs him and the rest of his espn crew have given tebow over the past week
Posted by: Nick | Dec 10, 2008 10:34:46 AM
Kari, the latest update looks like the same numbers as when there were 117 ballots, despite having a lot more ballots...
Posted by: Brad | Dec 10, 2008 4:15:07 PM
Nick I couldn't have said it any better myself.
Posted by: chris | Dec 10, 2008 4:48:19 PM
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Whose crazy idea is this?